Thursday, November 30, 2023

Ndindi Nyoro: Why I am buying so many Kenya Power shares

Kiharu Member of Parliament Ndindi Nyoro is the largest individual shareholder at Kenya Power. Latest regulatory filings show that as at June 2023, Nyoro held 32.5 million shares after acquiring an additional 5.2 million shares between December 2022 and June 2023.

Recently, he came out to explain his decision to invest heavily in Kenya Power shares.

Here is what Nyoro, who also owns a licensed investment firm, said:

“Some information has been going round in regards to the list of Kenya Power shareholders. A few things to note.

1). The investment has been accumulated over time. Several years back. We started off in stockbroking from 1st year in campus (KU). Thereafter running a firm in the sector. And later a Private Equity (PE) firm. This specific counter probably for the last 3 or 4 years.

2). GoK owns approx 50.1% of Kenya Power. All directors are therefore appointed by GoK. Our small stake is passive. We make zero decisions and therefore purely a silent, retail investor.

My take – as a Kenyan retail investor (Not as a public officer)  

Why the decision to buy Kenya Power:

1). Like any other investment, you make decisions based on fundamentals and gut feeling.

2). The stock is cheap, actually a penny stock.

3). With gross full year revenues of Approx Ksh 150 B, assets of around Ksh 325B, probably Kenya Power is undervalued. The market values the company at around 1% of its assets base. The current market capitalisation being at around Ksh 3B.

4). Using the HALF year Financials of upto Dec 2021, where Earning Per Share (EPS) was Ksh 1.96, then the PE ratio is just about 0.5 or half an year. Meaning if the company was to pay all the earnings as Dividends, it would take one 0.5 years (half an year) to recover the investment.

However, investment decisions are two sided. There are reasons why the Market has undervalued Kenya Power including the high debt Portifolio, huge unpaid bills especially from GoK and inefficiencies stemming from being “government run”.

Most investors, us included are holding for long term with the hope that the sleeping giant can roar with a few streamlining measures.

Lastly, 

1). The period we are in is reminiscent to 2002. The Economy was battered and the Securities exchange was bearish. After President Kibaki took over, alot happened that hugely increased the returns of shareholders.

I know of an investor in KQ then whose investment of Ksh 500k turned to Ksh 70M. Some Equity Bank and Coop bank shareholders from our Villages became Millionaires out of their investments in the companies especially before listing and immediately after listing.

2). We’ve been here before. Just after campus, we bought CIC shares just before listing, many of us made 500% profit within one year after the company was listed.

3). Our investment strategy is guided by Wareen Buffers Mantra. “Be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy”. –  NSE was among the worst performing markets in the world last year – we see opportunities here.

From our banks and Telcos expanding regionally. All these are opportunities.  Any Kenyan can buy shares. You just need to open a CDS account from a stockbroking firm.

Many banks also offer those services.  The information above in casual and one is required to get the correct advice from experts.

Ndindi Nyoro tightens his Kenya Power ownership with 32.5 million shares

Above is just based on experiences and gut and therefore not a call to act. I may be right, but may also be wrong.  There’s no investment with guaranteed returns as far as investing in stocks is concerned.

It’s a matter of finding equilibrium between risk and return based on one’s ability to withstand the outcome.

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